Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001161 1.307378e-03 0.001455 0.001614 0.001781 0.001950 0.002133
2025-05-25 0.000858 1.083620e-03 0.001322 0.001589 0.001878 0.002178 0.002512
2025-06-01 0.000620 8.957075e-04 0.001201 0.001557 0.001953 0.002375 0.002855
2025-06-08 0.000454 7.621461e-04 0.001122 0.001555 0.002049 0.002586 0.003205
2025-06-15 0.000356 6.919733e-04 0.001102 0.001611 0.002203 0.002855 0.003614
2025-06-22 0.000254 5.966497e-04 0.001041 0.001608 0.002282 0.003035 0.003920
2025-06-29 0.000177 5.211341e-04 0.000993 0.001615 0.002367 0.003215 0.004222
2025-07-06 0.000131 4.783364e-04 0.000982 0.001661 0.002493 0.003440 0.004571
2025-07-13 0.000077 4.071170e-04 0.000925 0.001644 0.002540 0.003570 0.004809
2025-07-20 0.000035 3.372512e-04 0.000860 0.001612 0.002565 0.003672 0.005011
2025-07-27 0.000020 3.163165e-04 0.000864 0.001667 0.002693 0.003892 0.005347
2025-08-03 0.000007 2.860114e-04 0.000850 0.001695 0.002787 0.004070 0.005634
2025-08-10 NaN 2.037564e-04 0.000749 0.001610 0.002749 0.004104 0.005769
2025-08-17 NaN 1.490128e-04 0.000684 0.001573 0.002771 0.004212 0.005993
2025-08-24 NaN 1.023216e-04 0.000622 0.001535 0.002791 0.004317 0.006216
2025-08-31 NaN 7.228018e-05 0.000585 0.001529 0.002851 0.004470 0.006494
2025-09-07 NaN 6.128230e-05 0.000587 0.001583 0.002989 0.004716 0.006882
2025-09-14 NaN 3.980942e-05 0.000554 0.001580 0.003049 0.004867 0.007156
2025-09-21 NaN 2.460466e-05 0.000529 0.001586 0.003120 0.005031 0.007444
2025-09-28 NaN 1.805661e-05 0.000529 0.001632 0.003244 0.005258 0.007806
2025-10-05 NaN 6.375317e-06 0.000492 0.001615 0.003281 0.005377 0.008039
2025-10-12 NaN 1.546064e-07 0.000449 0.001583 0.003296 0.005467 0.008236
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.000456 0.001637 0.003429 0.005703 0.008607